Not only do the win-expectancy and win-total numbers disagree, but the win total is juiced the wrong way. That is, if you trust the win expectancy numbers, and in this case I do, as I like the chances of the Giants finishing with six or less wins.
If you think the Giants belong in that 7-to TEN in Week I like going Over 8. But the game-line market has them even more undervalued than the win total market, so this is a team I expect to wind up with a great ATS record against these opening lines. LAC in Week 15 on a Thursday. Log into your account. Man facing multiple vandalism charges taken into custody by Chattanooga Police September 16, Bradley County looking for church vandalism suspect September 15, Shooting on Windsor Street September 15, Murray County at Coahulla Creek September 14, Boyd-Buchanan at Notre Dame September 14, Creekview at Dalton September 14, Florence death toll stands at 7, including mother and baby September 15, What if we know Carson Wentz is healthy to start the season?
Or in Week 5? We'll sum it up like this: The difference in the Eagles' chances to win, in the model's mind, between Wentz and Nick Foles is generally about 4 percentage points per game. After all, we've seen that Foles is a capable fill-in. In Week 1, we give Philadelphia a 65 percent chance to beat Atlanta with Wentz under center and a 61 percent with Foles. But all those percentage points do add up: We would project over 10 wins with 16 games of Wentz, but 9.
How much better are the Colts with Andrew Luck than without him? The difference between him and Jacoby Brissett hovers around 11 percentage points per game. The Colts are about a seven-win team with Luck and just better than a five-win team with Brissett, so there's a real difference there.
Luck is held in high esteem by the FPI, but, similar to the aforementioned Jets scenario, he isn't the only part of the equation. In order for the Colts to be playoff contenders, they'll need more than just Luck's health to break in their favor.
A season ago the Patriots and Steelers squared off in what many presumed would be a precursor to a playoff showdown between the two teams. But we will get another game between New England and Pittsburgh -- in Week 15, no less -- this season. And according to our pregame matchup quality metric, which considers the quality of the two teams in the contest, that is the best game of the year. But in terms of playoff chances, Patriots-Steelers is not actually the most important game of the year.
For that, we can look at leverage -- the percentage chance to reach the playoffs each team can gain or lose depending on the result. And if we look at that, we get a whole different set of games with high stakes to look forward to in the upcoming year. To help make this website better, to improve and personalize your experience and for advertising purposes, are you happy to accept cookies and other technologies? Week 2 takeaways for every team: Concern for Eagles, Steelers?
Roughing passer flags 'out of control' Green Bay Packers. Cowboys' Prescott rises to 'challenge' vs. Giants 6h Todd Archer. Wilks hints at changes after Cardinals shut out Arizona Cardinals. Eli Manning, offensive line make Giants' weapons obsolete 6h Jordan Raanan. Colts hang on as Andrew Luck earns first victory since season 6h Mike Wells. Sam Darnold's Broadway debut: Some promise, too many mistakes 14h Rich Cimini.
Packers have to show they can win with a gimpy Aaron Rodgers 13h Rob Demovsky. Saints avoid disaster with first victory, keep Browns waiting 14h Mike Triplett. Rams lose kicker Zuerlein to injury before game Los Angeles Rams. Lions' Slay out with concussion; Blount ejected Detroit Lions. A total of players were eligible for some form of free agency at the beginning of the free agency period. The Cleveland Browns selected Myles Garrett with the first overall pick.
Training camps for the season were held in late July through August. Teams started training camp no earlier than 15 days before the team's first scheduled preseason game.
Prior to the start of the regular season, each team played four preseason exhibition games , beginning on August It was televised nationally on NBC.
The regular season 's games which were played over a week schedule which began on September 7. Each of the league's 32 teams plays a game schedule, with one bye week for each team.
The slate also features games on Monday nights. The regular season concluded with a full slate of 16 games on Sunday, December 31, all of which were the intra—division matchups, as it has been since Under the NFL's current scheduling formula , each team plays the other three teams in its own division twice. In addition a team plays against all four teams in one other division from each conference. The final two games on a team's schedule are against the two teams in the team's own conference in the divisions the team was not set to play which finished the previous season in the same rank in their division e.
The preset division pairings for will be as follows. The following games were moved or canceled because of severe weather, by way of flexible scheduling , or for other reasons:. The playoffs began on the weekend of January 6—7, with the Wild Card playoff round.
The four winners of these playoff games visited the top two seeded teams in each conference in the Divisional round games played on the weekend of January 13—14, The winners of those games advanced the Conference championship games was held on January 21, Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. During a September 22, speech, the President of the United States , Donald Trump made controversial remarks criticizing the practice of taking a knee during the playing of the national anthem—a practice popularized by Colin Kaepernick in as part of an effort to protest racial inequality and police brutality.
Trump suggested that those who partake in the practice were disrespecting the country's heritage, and asked his audience, "wouldn't you love to see one of these NFL owners, when somebody disrespects our flag, to say, 'Get that son of a bitch off the field right now. On December 17, , Jerry Richardson , owner of the Carolina Panthers , announced he was putting the team up for sale. Dan Rooney was chairman and plurality owner of the Pittsburgh Steelers and one of the sons of founding owner Art Rooney , Sr.
Having been officially involved with the franchise since , Rooney was a part of all six of the Steelers' Super Bowl victories. In addition to this, Rooney was considered an active and progressive owner in the league's operations, most famously by successfully pushing for the Rooney Rule , an affirmative action policy requiring all NFL franchises to interview persons of color for head coaching vacancies. Concurrently with his role with the Steelers, Rooney also served as United States Ambassador to Ireland from to He was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in , making him and his father the second father-son duo in the Hall behind Tim and Wellington Mara to whom the Rooneys are related by marriage.
Rooney died on April 13 at the age of The following rule changes were approved for the NFL season at the owners' meeting on March 28, The ban on teams contacting potential coaching candidates until that candidate's team has been eliminated from the playoffs was tabled. Vance Joseph, who spent the previous season as the Miami Dolphins ' defensive coordinator, was hired on January 11, Anthony Lynn was hired as the Chargers' new head coach on January 12, The Atlanta Falcons played their first season at Mercedes-Benz Stadium , after playing in the Georgia Dome for the previous 25 seasons.
For the time being, the Chargers are playing at the 30, seat StubHub Center in Carson, California , the smallest venue in terms of number of seats the league has used for a full season since Unlike the Chargers, the Raiders will remain at the Oakland—Alameda County Coliseum through at least the season with the season to be determined while Las Vegas Stadium is built, with the team moving to Nevada in or The Los Angeles Rams, who had capped season ticket sales at 55, for the season, announced to have 60, spectators in the first home game on week 1.
However, reports estimate that spectators only filled a third of the 93, seats of the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. The Los Angeles teams were not the only ones with visible attendance problems. The San Francisco 49ers reported a Week 3 attendance total that exceeded the capacity of Levi's Stadium , even as wide swaths of empty seats were visible in the stadium throughout the game. This includes "cross-flexing" switching Sunday Afternoon games between CBS and Fox before or during the season regardless of the conference of the visiting team.
Although never explicitly announced, the league continued the moratorium on its blackout policy , ensuring all games would be televised in the market of their home teams regardless of ticket sales. Because of fog and smoke obstruction, NBC was forced to televise large portions of two of their Sunday Night Football games from the skycam angle. Positive reception led NBC to experiment with increased usage of the angle as a primary view during its November 16 and December 14 Thursday Night Football telecasts.
Because the angle distorts distance, the traditional sideline camera angle was used for close-yardage situations such as the red zone. These streams are exclusive to paid Amazon Prime subscribers, in contrast to Twitter , which held the rights to the same package in and had made those streams free to most of the world. Verizon Communications acquired international streaming rights to an NFL London Game between the Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars, in a similar arrangement to the game that was streamed by Yahoo!
This is the final season of the NFL's exclusive mobile streaming contract with Verizon Wireless ; the league intends to no longer have a single exclusive partner going forward, citing changes to viewing habits.
Unlike the previous deal, these streams will no longer be exclusive to Verizon Wireless subscribers, as Verizon plans to leverage the divisions of its digital media subsidiary Oath including the aforementioned Yahoo and go90 as a platform to promote these streams to a larger audience, as well as other digital content and expanded highlights rights.
As part of the agreement, Verizon will begin allowing access to its existing mobile streams to non-customers for the playoffs. Two new international digital rights deals led to user criticism over their quality of service. Both services faced criticism over their streaming quality, while Delatre's app faced criticism for having bugs and initially lacking features seen in the previous version of the platform. The Independent exposed that Deltatre had also issued an internal e-mail instructing its employees to give the apps 5-star reviews.
The league has sought to reduce the number of standard commercial breaks media timeouts on its telecasts from 21 to 16, four in each quarter, with each break extended by one additional second commercial. One particular scenario the league sought to eliminate is the "double-up," in which a network cuts to a commercial after a scoring play, then airs the kickoff, and again goes to commercial before play from scrimmage resumes.
Under the proposal, the league will allow networks to cut to commercial during instant replay reviews, which it had not been allowed to do before. Commissioner Roger Goodell stated that the changes are being made in an attempt to consolidate downtime between the actual game play so that there are fewer and less noticeable interruptions; he does not expect the changes to have an appreciable impact on the real-time length of a game, which currently clocks in at slightly over three hours.
The NFL has also, as a trial, lifted its ban on the broadcast of commercials for distilled spirits during its telecasts. However, they are subject to restrictions; a maximum of four liquor ads may be broadcast per-game, along with two per-pregame and postgame show.
These ads may not contain football-related themes or target underage viewers, and must contain a "prominent social responsibility message".
Tony Romo , who announced his retirement as a player on April 4, , joined CBS, where he replaced Phil Simms as lead color commentator. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. This article is about the American football season in the United States. AFC East view talk edit. Buffalo and Baltimore finished ahead of LA Chargers based on conference record.
Buffalo claimed the No. Philadelphia's cumulative record against Carolina, Chicago, LA Rams and Washington was 5—0, compared to Minnesota's 4—1 cumulative record against the same four teams. Green Bay's cumulative record against Dallas, Minnesota, New Orleans and Seattle was 2—3, compared to Washington's 1—4 cumulative record against the same four teams.
Pro Football Hall of Fame. Oakland Raiders relocation to Las Vegas. Retrieved January 12, Dolphins Trade For Julius Thomas". Branden Albert acquired in trade". Retrieved March 9, Retrieved May 22, Retrieved March 15, Retrieved November 1, NFL announces which teams will be playing". Retrieved December 13, Patriots and the Raiders? Retrieved December 9, Retrieved December 25, Retrieved August 30, Retrieved September 6, Retrieved November 15, Retrieved December 11, The New York Times.