Chiefs at Steelers (-5)
The Super Bowl loser trend didn't come through in Week 1, but you were correctly warned about the recent struggles for Indianapolis and New Orleans in season openers. As you'll see, the trends this week point to a bounce-back performance by Andrew Luck and the Colts. Indianapolis Colts at Washington Redskins Luck is against the spread and straight up in games after a loss in his career. This includes a ATS record with eight outright wins as an underdog after a loss.
Los Angeles Chargers The Chargers are ATS with 10 outright losses in their past 20 games as a favorite of more than a field goal. The under is in the Chargers' past 11 road games. Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers -5, The over is in the Steelers' past seven home games.
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets The Jets are ATS in their past nine home games. The Dolphins are ATS in their past five road games.
Philadelphia Eag les -- 1 p. This will mark the first time in their past six games that the Eagles are favored including playoffs. Nick Foles went ATS in his two starts as a favorite last season. The over is in the Eagles' past 20 road games. Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints The over is in the Saints' past 23 home games. The Browns have won outright as underdogs in each of their past three trips to New Orleans. Those outright wins have been as a 9-point underdog in , a 5.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons The home team is ATS in the past six meetings between these division rivals. The under is in the past 10 meetings between these NFC South foes. The under is in the Falcons' past 16 games. Week 1 results were a bit mixed. As the season progresses, the underlying stats that fuel our weekly projections will get a greater sample size and, as a result, provide keener insight into weekly matchups.
The process of creating proprietary point spreads is done by computer but there is an eye-test element involved. When you see the potential for so much variance from the projection, a game is usually just not worth the money.
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints Now they get to face a New Orleans defense that allowed a league-high 3. Only the Denver Broncos have been better in that span allowed points fewer than expected via the rush. The Chiefs tallied 2.
Those two should be a handful for Pittsburgh, whose secondary was ranked as the 23rd best in the league by the game charters at Pro Football Focus. Indianapolis Colts at Washington Redskins More than half of those yards 58 were after contact, a troublesome statistic for the Colts, owners of the fourth-worst run defense in the NFL per PFF.
And when that happened to him on Sunday his passer rating dropped from The three games above represent my best plays of the week because my analysis shows the point spreads are the most divergent from what I expect to happen once the teams take the field. Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons Green Bay Packers — 1.