2018 NFL Predictions

Kicker Gonzalez costs Browns in heartbreaker Cleveland Browns. Going forward, FPI still isn't quite sold on K. Matt Stafford has played a high level the past two seasons, the receiving group has gotten better and the 27th-ranked defense from a year ago should improve immediately under the former Pats defensive coordinator. The Texans will look more like that team against Marcus Mariota , who could be playing behind an offensive line that is not at full strength. For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game.

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Pittsburgh has dominated up front -- the Steelers have rushing yards in the past three matchups to for the Chiefs -- and controlled Kansas City's high-scoring offense the Chiefs have 43 points in the three games. That won't change this season. Steelers 27, Chiefs The Steelers have won six of their past seven against the Chiefs. Tyreek Hill has averaged 4. Ben Roethlisberger will be eager to find his rhythm at home, and the Chiefs' inexperienced secondary should help.

Steelers 30, Chiefs The Chiefs had the best special-teams week of any team last week -- Hill had a punt return for a touchdown -- which is great in the moment, but less predictable than offense or defense. Going forward, FPI still isn't quite sold on K. But here's why he should be started on the road in Pittsburgh. A better test for Chiefs comes against Steelers. Still no Carson Wentz , but the Eagles' offense should get going in Tampa. Mike Wallace noted this week that the Bucs play a lot of "quarters" defense, which he views as the ideal coverage to get deep balls.

Nick Foles might air a few out against a banged-up Tampa secondary after playing conservatively in Week 1. The Eagles' defensive front, meanwhile, will make it tough for Ryan Fitzpatrick to get his "magic" going.

Eagles 27, Bucs Can the Bucs replicate last week's offensive firepower and Fitzpatrick's "Fitz-Magic" against the Eagles' vaunted defense? More importantly, can the defense that gave up 40 points and struggled against the Saints anticipate Doug Pederson's gadget plays? They did enough last week to earn a vote of confidence here. Bucs 28, Eagles It looks like there is still some magic left in Fitzpatrick's arm, as he posted his highest single-game Total QBR since The Eagles' defense will provide a tougher challenge as it has allowed the second-lowest Total QBR against since the start of last season.

Tampa Bay allowed the most fantasy points to slot receivers in Week 1. This bodes well for Nelson Agholor , who aligned inside on 54 percent of his Week 1 routes. Ajayi to be 'workhorse' for Eagles Monken's watchful eye benefiting Bucs offense How Foles nearly joined Bucs.

The Browns' defense gave up touchdown drives of 88, 74 and 39 yards to Pittsburgh and now on the road has to face a Saints team angered by an embarrassing home loss in its opener. That's not a good formula for a team whose quarterback went of passing in the opener.

Saints 31, Browns I'm surprised the Saints are nearly double-digit favorites for the second straight week. Their defense had trouble containing Ryan Fitzpatrick in the pocket in Week 1, and now it has to deal with Tyrod Taylor -- not to mention dangerous receiving threats such as Jarvis Landry , Josh Gordon and Duke Johnson Jr.

Saints 30, Browns Though the Saints lost in Week 1, the Brees-Thomas connection was nearly perfect. Gordon managed just one catch on three targets while playing on 78 percent of Cleveland's offensive snaps in Week 1. Should he be started in Week 2? How the highly touted Saints secondary came back to earth Brees heaps praise on Mayfield Browns seek to maintain post perfection in New Orleans.

WSH -6 Matchup quality: The Colts have started the season for four consecutive years. They're about to extend that streak to five. Field conditions could play a factor in the game because of possible heavy rain due to Hurricane Florence. Colts coach Frank Reich believes poor field conditions favor the offense, and that's where the Redskins will have the edge because of their running game.

Washington rushed for yards in Week 1 against Arizona. Redskins 21, Colts The Redskins have a chance to be for the first time since , with upcoming games vs. Green Bay and New Orleans. They need the momentum. Washington's running game looked as creative and diverse as it ever has been under coach Jay Gruden, and that will give the Colts trouble. Redskins 24, Colts Washington was one of FPI's biggest movers of the week, jumping 11 spots to 11th overall in large part because of the second-highest offensive efficiency of Week 1.

In his first start back from injury, Andrew Luck posted a Despite the addition of Eric Ebron , Jack Doyle is still the Colts tight end you want to play every week in daily fantasy. Tough early schedule means Colts must find footing fast Smith carries out transformation of Redskins' run game. Deshaun Watson lit up the Titans for five touchdowns in their last matchup. The secondary will be tested by Watson and DeAndre Hopkins , especially when Watson is able to break the pocket and buy extra time.

The pass rush had trouble getting to the quarterback last week, getting only one sack in the season opener. They'll need a better effort this week, but the Texans will end up with the close win. Texans 24, Titans The Texans' pass rush had a hard time getting to Tom Brady early in the season opener, but it improved in the second half. The Texans will look more like that team against Marcus Mariota , who could be playing behind an offensive line that is not at full strength.

This won't be a blowout like the last time Watson faced the Titans, but he will lead the Texans to a victory to avoid starting the season Texans 21, Titans Deshaun Watson was pressured at a league-high 54 percent rate in Week 1, and a lot of that might have been on him.

Watson had the second-longest time before a pass 3. Can you trust Lamar Miller after a strong Week 1? He was on the field for 54 of Houston's 71 offensive snaps and handled 26 of the 33 pass routes run by the running backs.

Watson, Texans hope to recapture magic Vrabel's specialty will be key against former team. NYJ -3 Matchup quality: The Jets are riding the high of a prime-time blowout road win over Detroit, but this is still the same team we had a lot of question marks about to start the season.

Miami's pass-rush duo of Cameron Wake and Robert Quinn should have more success against the Jets' offensive line, and the Dolphins' secondary might be able to fool Sam Darnold into a few turnovers.

Kenyan Drake and Frank Gore should lead the Dolphins to a road upset. Dolphins 20, Jets Darnold, blitzed only four times and contacted just twice by the Lions in the opener, will have a tougher time against a Miami defense that will take some chances. Wake is an absolute Jets killer -- The Jets have lost seven of their past 10 at home to Miami.

The Jets are on a short week and haven't proved they can handle prosperity. Dolphins 23, Jets The Jets probably won a few more games than they should have last season, so six wins and second place in the division will be something to build on for Todd Bowles into This contest follows games against Detroit, Miami, Cleveland and Jacksonville.

Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has missed the past 20 games for the Dolphins, and if he misses another, either Brock Osweiler or David Fales will start in his place. The Dolphins have one of the latest byes available, in Week The Bills team depended on LeSean McCoy racking up yards, low-risk quarterback play and an opportunistic defense. He was the least-accurate and most turnover-prone top quarterback in the draft. It all spells a big step back for the surprise playoff team from Antonio Brown is a top-two or the top?

The Steelers did well to pick up linebacker Jon Bostic in free agency and nab safety Terrell Edmunds in the draft. Jacksonville forced seven turnovers, while the Steelers could create just one.

The 45—42 final score from their playoff contest is not indicative of how totally in control the Jags were for more than three-and-a-half quarters of the game. Baltimore went against would-be playoff teams and against all others. The match is also important to Baltimore because it faces New Orleans, Carolina and Pittsburgh in consecutive weeks afterward.

This designation is more about feel than what I see on paper. You have to like their running game, pass catchers and, if rookie center Billy Price is healthy as expected, their offensive line, too. Using the same logic as with the Ravens, the Bengals went against playoff teams last season but a paltry against the others. Dalton and Lewis together are versus the Steelers including the playoffs and have just one win at home against the division rival.

If not, this could be another forgettable season for a well-put-together team. In the last three seasons the Browns have been the worst, second-worst and third-worst scoring offense in the NFL, and the team has tallied four total wins.

This season is going to be all about small victories for the Browns. And hopefully for the Browns, that one road win will turn into two, and two will turn into…. The Chiefs have made it to the playoffs the past three years playing in what has been, over that span, the most competitive division in football.

The steadiness of Alex Smith, the coaching of Andy Reid and a stout defense have been the reason. The defense will hardly be recognizable from last year. The outcome of this game could decide the AFC West.

Considering how weak the AFC is, 10 wins should get you into the playoffs, and a victory here will help the Chiefs secure at least one game at Arrowhead. After two down years, this team crawled out of the AFC West cellar to finish second last year with little contribution from their rookies. Now Mike Williams and Forrest Lamp enter Year 2 with rookie safety Derwin James—possibly the best value pick of the first round—bolstering a defensive backfield that already has Casey Hayward and Jason Verrett.

Losing tight end Hunter Henry to an ACL tear hurts, but the Chargers have three months to figure out a position that was a given for so long thanks to Antonio Gates. The Chargers played a lot of home games last year that felt like road games in the 30,seat StubHub Center. This will be the second home game of for Los Angeles, and it comes against the resurgent Bay Area club with the popular young quarterback.

On top of that, the Raiders basically got a new secondary, new No. How will Oakland and its coaching staff respond after a week off following what I suspect to be early-season success based largely on the schedule? Also telling was Denver getting just one road win, against the hapless Colts in Week The former Broncos defensive coordinator returns to Denver, where he helped craft the Super Bowl-winning defense three seasons ago. This game will be the best test for both sides of the ball in Denver.

The Jaguars defense is not to be trifled with. On offense, Jacksonville signed guard Andrew Norwell at the start of free agency to bolster an already strong line. The rematch, slated for the second week of the season, will be a tone-setter for the Jags. Deshaun Watson is better than those three combined. DeAndre Hopkins has come into his own after another stellar season got him the deserved recognition of the All-Pro team.

And the worst scoring defense in the NFL gets the best pass rusher in the game back while also adding Tyrann Mathieu, on a one-year bet-on-himself deal, to the secondary. These teams split the series last year, but the one game in which Watson played really tells the story.

The Texans won and Watson led the franchise to its highest scoring output ever. The way I see it below , the Titans will very much be in the hunt in Week 12, so this division contest is a crucial one for Houston. Derrick Henry has control of the running game. The offensive line is solid. Tennessee had great offseason pickups with Malcolm Butler in free agency and Rashaan Evans in the draft.

But I like Jacksonville and Houston more in the division and Marcus Mariota throwing 13 touchdowns to 15 interceptions in his third season is concerning. A slight step back for Tennessee feels like the call here. These teams also meet in Week 3, so really you can take your pick. Tennessee impressively topped the Jags twice last season on its way to a division record. As noted above, I think the AFC South will come down to the wire, so a win here for the Titans will very likely prove this prediction wrong.

This prediction, which mirrors the results for Indianapolis, is solely rooted in the uncertainty around Andrew Luck. This should be the first time since Jan. If Luck is not ready by Week 1 as he should be, further doubt should be cast on this season.

No team—not the Packers or the Patriots or the Saints—has a better quarterback situation than Philadelphia. The Eagles will be coming off their Week 9 bye, so a strong performance against a rival is needed to kick off the second half of the season. Yes, Dak Prescott took a small step back in his sophomore campaign, but he still put together four game-winning drives last season.

Ezekiel Elliott should play the whole slate rather than sitting out six games when the Cowboys went without him. And Leighton Vander Esch will fit perfectly with the Cowboys.

Dallas will be coming off that huge Week 10 tilt with the Eagles and heading to Atlanta to face a Falcons team that crushed them by 20 points last year while Elliott was out. Second-year running back Christian McCaffrey will emerge as the best all-purpose back in the league in Norv Turner's system. He'll get 25 to 30 touches per game twice what he had a year ago and surpass 1, yards rushing in addition to leading the team in receptions. He'll make the Panthers an explosive offense like they were in , when they led the NFL in scoring.

Instead of being remembered as the victim of the "Minneapolis Miracle," Marcus Williams will become known for overcoming his infamous missed tackle on Stefon Diggs. The second-year safety flashed Pro Bowl potential with five interceptions as a rookie, including the playoffs. And the ball-hawking center fielder has been one of the Saints' biggest standouts in training camp Drew Brees even threw out an Ed Reed comparison after Williams picked him three days in a row.

Chris Godwin will surpass DeSean Jackson for the second-most receiving yards, finishing with -- second only to Mike Evans. Godwin was arguably the most consistent receiver during the offseason and training camp, and he showed strong chemistry with both Ryan Fitzpatrick and Jameis Winston. David Johnson will win MVP. Johnson is returning after missing 15 games last season because of a fractured wrist, and he's back to his weight and looking more powerful and quicker than he did before last season.

That'll lead to him becoming the third player in NFL history with 1, receiving and 1, rushing yards despite defenses' best efforts to key on him. With that type of season, Johnson will be named the league MVP after dominating week in and week out. Their offense led the league in scoring last season, averaging But it was their defense that kept them from advancing past the first round of the playoffs.

DeForest Buckner will reach double digits in sacks and finish in the top five of Defensive Player of the Year voting. Buckner might be the most underappreciated player in the league. According to Pro Football Focus, he led all interior defenders with 19 quarterback hits in He added 52 quarterback pressures, ranking fifth among interior defenders.

The next step is turning that pressure into sacks, something Buckner looks poised to do as the Niners find more ways to get him in one-on-one situations. Buckner could work more at end in a role similar to how Jacksonville used Calais Campbell in The Seahawks will have a top-five rushing offense and Chris Carson will lead the way.

To be sure, that would constitute a massive jump for a team that finished 23rd and 25th in rushing the past two seasons, but Seattle should benefit from better play up front and a healthier backfield that includes Carson and first-round pick Rashaad Penny. To help make this website better, to improve and personalize your experience and for advertising purposes, are you happy to accept cookies and other technologies?

Week 2 takeaways for every team: Concern for Eagles, Steelers? Roughing passer flags 'out of control' Green Bay Packers. Cowboys' Prescott rises to 'challenge' vs. Wilks hints at changes after Cardinals shut out Arizona Cardinals. Eli Manning, offensive line make Giants' weapons obsolete 7h Jordan Raanan. Colts hang on as Andrew Luck earns first victory since season 7h Mike Wells.

Sam Darnold's Broadway debut: Some promise, too many mistakes 14h Rich Cimini. Packers have to show they can win with a gimpy Aaron Rodgers 14h Rob Demovsky. Saints avoid disaster with first victory, keep Browns waiting 14h Mike Triplett. Rams lose kicker Zuerlein to injury before game Los Angeles Rams. Lions' Slay out with concussion; Blount ejected Detroit Lions. Falcons' Kazee ejected for head hit on Newton Atlanta Falcons.

Gore passes Martin for fourth on rushing list Miami Dolphins. Vikings kicker cites lack of confidence for miss Minnesota Vikings. Kicker Gonzalez costs Browns in heartbreaker Cleveland Browns. Alvin Kamara somehow finds another gear to start Year 2 2d Mike Triplett.

Sheldon Richardson's prove-it season with Vikings off to fast start 2d Courtney Cronin. Aaron Donald unhappy with Week 1 performance 2d Lindsey Thiry. Lions' Eli Harold has endured far more than backlash 2d Michael Rothstein. Drew Brees' advice to Baker Mayfield: Unbeaten Bengals still searching for true identity 3d Katherine Terrell. The outlook and expectations for all 15! All the Week 1 replacements who set the tone for Baltimore Ravens.