ALL PICKS, SIMULATIONS, AND INSIGHTS
This is a comfortable spot for 49ers rookie QB C. Beathard to make his first start, at home against a bad Dallas defense. Andy Dalton and the Bengals should have fixed a few more things offensively during the bye, namely how to get the running game going with Joe Mixon. That and their defense will allow them to hang around in Heinz Field against a limited Steelers offense that's incapable of blowing out anybody. That means the Broncos will go back to the run-heavy game plan that allowed them to edge the Chargers in Week 1.
The backfield is deeper behind C. J Anderson with Devontae Booker in the mix. The Giants have a lot more confidence after that shocker in Denver, where all their wholesale personnel and play-calling changes paid off.
The Seahawks have great success flying this far cross country with Pete Carroll and will put Big Blue back in its place. The Redskins weren't ready to host the Eagles in Week 1, as Kirk Cousins got off to his typical slow start. They'll perform much better in the rematch, and a red-hot Cousins will keep them in the game through four quarters. Start Slideshow Use left or right buttons to navigate.
Patriots win and cover the spread. Saints win but fail to cover the spread. Vikings win and cover the spread. Panthers win and cover the spread. Jaguars win and cover the spread. Prior to those games Baltimore had demolished Tampa Bay and Atlanta and had won five of six. Now, they are back to and are amazingly sitting in last place in the division. Tennessee has lost three straight road games and has yet to score more than 17 in any of them.
Baltimore should be able to run and throw effectively and score plenty against the Titans. There is one major concern for Baltimore. Jimmy Smith will continue to be sidelined which will force each cornerback up one spot once again. The Ravens were torched by Antonio Brown, Mohammed Sanu, and many others in the past few weeks, could be a big one for the Titans receivers as well. Sometimes games fall right in the lap of handicappers that pay close attention to statistics.
This happens to be one of those very games. In the Titans last game, Zach Mettenberger threw it 41 times. The numbers will likely stay the same with both secondaries struggling and the game should fly over the total.
Baltimore has a real shot to get to 40 and still not cover the 10 point spread. It cannot be stressed enough, do not underestimate the importance of Jimmy Smith. The Jets will get after Roethlisberger and force him to get rid of the ball quickly. New York has done well slowing the rush and should be able to do more of the same in this one. In the past three games Pittsburgh has averaged 41 points per game… themselves.
However, all three of those games were played at home against teams outside the top 10 in total defense. This is a different story.
The Steelers are averaging just Expect a tight game which a lot of punting and possible weather implications. Remember the last time the Buccaneers and Falcons met up? It was midway through the fourth quarter before the Bucs put up two touchdowns to make it a more respectable less laughable score.
Now the Falcons are one point underdogs to these very same Buccaneers? This time he is. However, this game is in Tampa Bay rather than inside the Georgia Dome.
Now, take a moment to consider if Raymond James Stadium, a place the Buccaneers have yet to win at this season, is worth a 41 point swing from seven weeks ago. Tampa Bay has been better defensively since their bye week, but this matchup will continue to haunt the Buccaneers.
Matt Ryan will once again cut up the Buccaneers and the Falcons will likely coast to the finish. Assuming the Bucs throw the ball after they fall behind, the Falcons defense is porous enough to allow at least a few scores.
Assuming the Broncos get to at least 35, the Raiders will only have to cover the other 14 in order for this game to reach the number. Once Denver gets out to big leads, they often take their foot off the gas defensively and teams tend to score garbage time touchdowns.
Not only do the Cardinals post the best record in the NFL, they are also tied with the Colts for the best record against the spread at This is by far the largest spread the Cardinals have faced this season and it comes against a tough divisional opponent in St.
This is a tough pick, and the Mountaineers are just on the road since Grier, however, leads the game-winning drive late. Brett Rypien and Taylor Cornelius each average more than yards per passing, and Rypien hasn't thrown an interception. The Broncos pose a challenge here, but the instinct is to go with the home team. A similar trend emerges here. It's right on the line. Oregon is averaging 60 points per game and looks good under first-year coach Mario Cristobal.
This is their tune-up before Stanford, but the Spartans were shut out by Washington State. The Ducks continue piling up the numbers. That has us at least second-guessing whether Alabama can cover against a team that has given them trouble in the past.
Don't expect Kirby Smart to let this team lose its focus. This is a tough sandwich game for the Bulldogs before SEC play begins, especially coming off a road victory against Kansas State. The Buckeyes are loaded with talent, and this is acting coach Ryan Day's biggest test.
Lose to a solid Gary Patterson team, and the pressure is on. Ohio State simply has too much talent. Both teams must have this one to avoid a start. Texas escaped with a victory against Tulsa, and this is the showcase nonconference game for Tom Herman. Washington has won the last two meetings by 10 points, and that included a escape last season.
Two solid coaches with similar styles will face off here, and the Utes will hang around.