Week 3 NFL Picks: Early expert predictions, analysis
Next year I expect to win it all with your help! Thanks again for your Wunderdog Picks! Steve Martin, Somerville, NJ. Dog, Although your office pool picks are only mathematical picks, you've out scored me every week. Had I used your picks I would be in the top 6 in my pool instead of tied at 8th. No more "juggling" in week 4; going with your picks this week. Keep up the good work. Larry Simpson, Lincoln Illinois. I WON my football pool and dominated actually since week 4!!!!
I could not have done it without your sites help, so thank you very much and I will be back next year for sure!!!! Get Free Picks Login. Out of those five teams, Carolina is the least popular pick by a wide margin, being picked by only about 75 percent of pick 'em players, while the other four teams are being picked at at least an 85 percent rate.
So, it makes little sense to make a big upset play on New Orleans. If you want to get crazy, the New York Jets over Miami offers nearly the same reward with significantly less risk. Believe it or not, Tennessee is a 3-point favorite at home vs. Seattle as of post time, and the point spread had recently moved from Based on the numbers, this game looks like a great opportunity to fade Seattle's "brand value" and make a contrarian pick with the odds in your favor. This game is close to a toss-up, though our models are a bit more optimistic about Cleveland's chances to win than the Vegas line at post time, which was Browns by 1.
Perhaps inspired by Indy's near-defeat of 7-point favorite Arizona last week, about 65 percent of pick 'em players are taking the Colts. If you need to flip a coin on a game, you want to pick the side with the better payoff if you're right. That side is Cleveland this week. If you're looking to take a risk on an upset pick with major upside, your Week 3 play is Buffalo. If their pick popularity stays so low, though, it makes Buffalo a very high leverage bet.
Get it right, you'll gain on nearly all of your opponents. Get it wrong, vice versa. Survivor pools, in which you only pick one team per week, demand much different strategy than pick 'em and confidence pools. Our NFL Survivor Picks product provides customized pick recommendations for all your survivor pools, based on the latest data like Vegas odds and public picking trends.
In Week 3, here are some of the factors you should be considering about the most popular survivor picks of the week so far:. Green Bay home vs. Green Bay's Week 1 and Week 2 results haven't been spectacular, and it feels like the public may be overestimating their chances here, even against the Bengals. However, the Packers also have modestly less future value than New England.